Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Reacting To The Cozart-Wilson Trade

In the words of Hela in Thor: Ragnarok (if you are a MCU fan), oh, I've missed this. How have you been folks? I have missed you all back to my blog. Taking time away from baseball is mostly a good thing for me. In all seriousness, following the sport has been a drag for me. I felt like not enjoying watching actual baseball games but still love to do some film room work and study prospects. In turn, I have watched a lot of football (Packer fan here, I come in peace) and been very busy with work and taking care of my fantasy basketball team where I am currently second and sitting comfortably. And now that everything is popping left, right and center in the baseball world, I felt like it is time to go back. 

I am ending my sabbatical in terms of writing content to comment on the trade that the Giants front office made in the early half of the Winter Meetings: a trade that brought Zack Cozart and 2019 first round pick Will Wilson from the Angels to the Bay Area for cash and the Josh Phegley special PTBNL. It was primarily a cap-freeing move for the Angels as they are gearing up to sign one or two of the big free agents in this very active winter (although they have struck out on Gerrit Cole by the Yankees just slapping their opponents with their wallets). 

The Giants have plenty of room in their threshold to afford salary dump deals with a young, controllable player or a top prospect attached on the trade, and Farhan's crew are doing what I expected from them. I mean, we have to admit, the Giants does not have enough weapons in terms of organization depth and overall talent in their big league roster to compete for a playoff spot. They might flirt with the possibility but overall, the timelines on when the saviors will come (Bart and friends) and signing long-term deals on star FA now but will hinder the organization the flexibility to shape the roster financially by extending those prospects 4-6 years from now because of the cap hit that those big contracts signed now impact the future 40-man roster (yeah, I keep saying cap space, cap hit, cap room when there is technically no salary cap but there is a luxury tax threshold you get it). 

That said, let's focus on the players the Giants received. Both infield prospects, primarily shortstops. Cozart has been banged up for a few years and has struggled to play on the diamond, Wilson is a 2019 first round pick. Eating all of Cozart's remaining contract (just a year left) gives the Giants flexibility to have an even bigger cap room for 2021, just in time for the first wave of new Giants to arrive. But the really savvy move is getting Will Wilson on the deal. 

You will see my full formal report on Will Wilson in my upcoming prospect primer but I can already give you guys everything that I know from what I have seen so far crunching his college and pro numbers and watching his tape. Wilson fits that prototype A's infielders that they love to draft in the past years (productive college infielders with all-around skillset but lacking one loud tool) and I did not come to a lot of shock that the Giants actually considered drafting Wilson at 10 given that Michael Holmes, the amateur scouting director, is from that Oakland Athletics. 

Again, Wilson does not have a single tool that will stand out to him. Instead, he uses everything in his disposal to succeed. His stroke is compact and it feels that there is a different sound off his bat as compared to his fellow draftees. He barrels the ball so well and is mature enough to recognize spin and adjust to breaking balls and square baseballs outside the zone without breaking out of his swing is impressive. He might be too aggressive at time because he knows he can barrel any ball and has one of the better set of extremities (hands and feet) from last year's draft class. He is sneaky strong with quick hands and has quick twitch to have solid or more power in his disposal. 

While not a burner, as he is an average or fringe runner at best, and not having the strongest of arms in the class, his ability to set his feet quickly, position himself in the dirt or the bag and the ability to transfer the ball from glove to hand while doing a really quick one-two step on double plays really impress me. The arm is accurate and I think he can play at shortstop in the big league level if he is asked to but the value will be tremendous if he can play and take advantage of his quick twitch in second, third, in the outfield or even behind the plate where he has some believers that he can play as catcher and he reminds me of superutilityman Chad Pinder.

There have been some qualms because the Giants traded for not one but two shortstops and they still have Crawford handling the position, my man Mo Dubon platooning with him or primarily playing opposite Crawford in the diamond, and the Giants have baby superfreak in Marco Luciano that is primarily a shortstop currently. All I can say to them is for them to grab some Kool-Aid and look at the big picture.

If everything turns out as planned and Dubon, Luciano and Wilson will be success stories defensively, then it is great. But, we know that the most important players in the field are those who play in the middle (catcher, pitcher, shortstop, center fielder) in terms of versatility because they play the toughest positions in the field, especially shortstops and center fielders where a special combination of natural ability, instincts, IQ  and experience is required to play the position. Moving them out of their position is easier than those from second base trying to play short (most second baseman are former shortstops anyways). Those players come from different timeframes: Crawford inching closer towards the sunset, Dubon being just freshly minted to the roster last year, Luciano being so ridiculously young he might need 3 more years to the big leagues and Wilson, being a college draftee, moving through the Minors relatively quickly. The Giants have plenty of time to problem solve the situation and place their best players on the field. You can never have too much shortstop-capable players on the field, right? And remember when the Giants have too many first baseman-worthy players on their depth chart from before to the future? It turned out to still be fluid so far.

Buying a first-round caliber talent, a top-150 to top-200 level of prospect as a matter of fact, is a stroke of genius from Farhan while I think the Angels gave a bit too much in order to just free up more money to make Mike Trout play meaningful baseball games as deep as possible. Giants took advantage of a seemingly desperation attempt from the Angels, bought the services of Kevin Gausman for only a year in order to find his groove back and improve his value. But again, the Giants is not yet good enough to win championships based on their current roster and suddenly destroying the future financial freedom by signing long-term deals. Player development is what should be paramount at this moment over all-in on the win-now, given how good the Giants pipeline has been for the past few years. I think the Giants are not yet done in terms of salary dump deals, maybe getting a player as good as Andrew Benintendi, in which I would be ecstatic for the possibility. 

This is all for me for now. I hope the you enjoy the little article that I put out today and I will discuss everything in my prospect primer in full detail my thoughts on the current regime and everything prospect-related. 




Monday, July 15, 2019

2019 Mid-Season Special

After years of being cellar dwellers in terms of the farm system rankings in all of baseball,  I can now say that this is not a bad farm system anymore, people. No BS, just plain truth. 

Friday, June 14, 2019

Getting To Know Your 2019 Draftees: Trevor McDonald

Welcome to this series that I consider as special in my heart. This is where I interview the 2019 draftees, get to know them better, in turn, you get to know them too. Past the scouting reports, past other people's opinions, straight from the source themselves. However, I am going to cover those prospects who did not have the media fanfare, the attention, the spotlight. I am going to focus on the prospects beyond top pick, Hunter Bishop. From Logan Wyatt down, I am doing my hardest to reach out on the day 2 and 3 draftees and put them on the map more to Giants fans.

This interview is very verbatim. I don't want to edit what the prospects said about the topics so that you can feel what type of personality they had. In turn, you see mine as well. I am using initials (mine's W, the draftees depend on the first letter of their first name).

In this interview, I talked to Trevor McDonald, the 11th rounder and in my opinion, the pitcher in this draft class with the highest ceiling. I had plenty of fun talking to him where it is just easy to ask questions and honestly, been hella excited to talk to him. His wanting to work hard is just oozing and really wants to do anything he can to be great. Those attributes separates those who really reach the very top. Everyone has the talent but those who work the hardest to match the talent are the ones who are going to be special, and I think this guy can. 

Thursday, June 13, 2019

Getting To Know Your 2019 Draftees: Kanoa Pagan

Welcome to this series that I consider as special in my heart. This is where I interview the 2019 draftees, get to know them better, in turn, you get to know them too. Past the scouting reports, past other people's opinions, straight from the source themselves. However, I am going to cover those prospects who did not have the media fanfare, the attention, the spotlight. I am going to focus on the prospects beyond top pick, Hunter Bishop. From Logan Wyatt down, I am doing my hardest to reach out on the day 2 and 3 draftees and put them on the map more to Giants fans.

This interview is very verbatim. I don't want to edit what the prospects said about the topics so that you can feel what type of personality they had. In turn, you see mine as well. I am using initials (mine's W, the draftees depend on the first letter of their first name).

In this interview, I talked to Kanoa Pagan, the 19th rounder, via his advisor Nick Salzeri. I sent a list of questions and was fortunate to get a great answer on every question. Topics to be seen are his hilarious draft story, pitching in Oracle Park pre-draft, the work he's put in, etc. I find his replies to be very candid and very honest, and I love it. I hope you find it fun too!

Monday, June 10, 2019

Getting To Know Your 2019 Draftees: Najee Gaskins

Welcome to this series that I consider as special in my heart. This is where I interview the 2019 draftees, get to know them better, in turn, you get to know them too. Past the scouting reports, past other people's opinions, straight from the source themselves. However, I am going to cover those prospects who did not have the media fanfare, the attention, the spotlight. I am going to focus on the prospects beyond top pick, Hunter Bishop. From Logan Wyatt down, I am doing my hardest to reach out on the day 2 and 3 draftees and put them on the map more to Giants fans.

This interview is very verbatim. I don't want to edit what the prospects said about the topics so that you can feel what type of personality they had. In turn, you see mine as well. I am using initials (mine's W, the draftees depend on the first letter of their first name).

In my first interview, I spent time with Najee Gaskins, the Giants selection in the 20th round out of St. Cloud State University. We talked about his draft story, a bet in his first homer, skillset and more. Overall, I had a blast talking to him, it just felt very natural and a very fun one. Had a lot of laughs while talking to him so I hope you do as well!

Sunday, June 9, 2019

Getting To Know Your 2019 Draftees: Harrison Freed

Welcome to this series that I consider as special in my heart. This is where I interview the 2019 draftees, get to know them better, in turn, you get to know them too. Past the scouting reports, past other people's opinions, straight from the source themselves. However, I am going to cover those prospects who did not have the media fanfare, the attention, the spotlight. I am going to focus on the prospects beyond top pick, Hunter Bishop. From Logan Wyatt down, I am doing my hardest to reach out on the day 2 and 3 draftees and put them on the map for Giants fans.

This interview is very verbatim. I don't want to edit what the prospects said about the topics so that you can feel what type of personality they had. In turn, you see mine as well. I am using initials (mine's W, the draftees depend on the first letter of their first name).

In my second interview, I spent time with Harrison Freed, the outfielder from Butler University selected in the 13th round by the Giants. We talked about getting the call, his relationship with long-time friend Ryan Pepiot who was drafted by the Dodgers, improvements he's done on the offseason, etc. I had a blast talking to Freed, he seemed to be very level-headed, self-aware, intelligent, very professional and mature. I hope that you see the traits that I saw while talking to him.

Thursday, June 6, 2019

2019 MLB Draft Day 3 Review

We did it everyone. We survived the exciting three days of the 2019 MLB draft. In my opinion, this is one of the best drafts by the team based on an initial reaction standpoint, with the Zaidi-Holmes regime still able to draft prospects in day 3 that are in the top 200 draft prospects list of MLB.com. Not just drafted, they are also expected to sign and play for the club. 

Now, this is where it really starts. Once the pleasantries have been delivered, buffet's been served, hugs been given, it's now time to put in the work in order to not just live their draft expectations, but reach their ultimate dream of reaching the big leagues and winning a title (hopefully, with the Giants). There are a lot of draftees in day 3 so I will just do a highlight or partial scouting reports on each signable draftee (those who chose to play college over pro ball will not be included).

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

2019 MLB Draft Day 2 Review

The day 2 of the 2019 MLB Draft came pretty quickly after the first, and with Zaidi saying that they will fill the tab up with hitters, and boy he did, with 9 of the 10 draftees with year being hitters. Pretty interesting draft, so enough with the chitchat and let's get started.

Full scouting reports will be done on rounds 3-6 and partial reports will be done from rounds 7 onwards.

Tuesday, June 4, 2019

2019 MLB Draft Day 1 Review

It has come down upon us folks, the first day of the 2019 MLB draft has come to pass. There are little surprises early on in a draft that was expected to be full of. I do not really care much about other teams and their picks and it is very unfair to grade their picks because they will have to undergo the grind of the minors to grade them either as a bust or a success. 

For the Giants, the draft went pretty much what expected, especially when there are a plethora of names being thrown around to be selected. No C.J. Abrams, no Jackson Rutledge, no Bryson Stott, nada. It was the one that I am very hyped since following college baseball early this year, Hunter Bishop, with the 10th overall selection. With the second selection, the Giants went pretty intriguing with Logan Wyatt, a first baseman. Yes, a first baseman. They said that they see a potential corner outfielder there but yes, a first baseman. 

Scouting reports and grades are my own and I hope you find this one a good read. 

Sunday, June 2, 2019

2019 May Prospect Reports

Welcome to the May prospect report! Now the draft is just a couple of sleeps away so before we get to the draft content, I am monitoring the whereabouts of prospects and telling you what I have seen in terms of the movement of their stats over the course of the month. We are now in May and the long season is coming unto us. From big league promotions to return from injuries, I hope you find this fun to read.

Since the DSL just started its season, it will not be included in this edition but will be in the June piece.

Monday, May 20, 2019

2019 MLB Draft: Prospects Linked to the Giants

As the Giants season spirals towards its impending doom in Bochy's final season, Giants fans are probably more tuned in towards the upcoming First-Year Player Draft (I do). As a big prospect enthusiast, I find the draft to be the most interesting event of the year as we see what kind of players each team is going to add into their organizations with the hopes of helping them win the World Series in the future. 

Thursday, May 9, 2019

Wrenzie's April Prospect Reports


Welcome to my monthly prospect reports! This will be a monthly event, with some issues trying to sort out to make this prospect reports more interesting and fun. In this edition, we are going to take a look at the performances of plenty (and I mean plenty of notable prospects) in the month of April.

Saturday, March 23, 2019

The 2019 Pre-season Top 30 List

As Spring Training draws to a close and we are inching closer to Opening Day in both the Majors and the Minors, I think it's time to take a look once again at the top 30 prospects list and see how did the Spring Training performances shaken up the list positively and negatively. I know that Spring Training stats are full of crap and I base it on the eye test, whether I see something that I like or not like. As a result, I made some bold decisions in terms of the rise and fall in terms of prospects. 

I know ranking prospects are also full of crap so it's better to base them on my tiers or their current value. I do believe all prospects has 80 ceiling and I am seeing their likely value. 

If you want to read my thoughts on the prospects that are not here, you can view my prospect primer and see if you find what you are looking for. After all, my in-depth analysis on the top 30 prospects pre-Instructional Leagues are there and my other thoughts on the prospects in the system. You will see plenty of NTSH especially in the back-half portion of the list because all of the thoughts about them are on the primer. All of my new thoughts about the prospects are here.

Thursday, March 14, 2019

2019 MLB Draft: Prospects To Keep Tabs On

Ah yes, baseball is truly upon us. From the Spring Training where major leaguers and minor leaguers are putting their work in, collegiate baseball that is already heating up, HS circuits and showcases already under way (maybe not for the Northeastern areas). From Adley Rutschman looking like the second coming of Joe Mauer to Tyler Beede already re-opening eyes this Spring Training (more on him on my next post), things are slowly taking shape (aside from the off the field BS that the Giants put themselves in the past weeks).

As such, it is never too early to take a look at the possible draft targets for the Giants in June. Again, they are under new management so the usual stuff of "having a different board than the rest" can be put into the shelf, at least for now. As far as the Dodgers, the A's and the Braves' track records are concerned (because it will be the triumvirate of Zaidi-Holmes-Bridges that will be calling the shots), they usually follow the best player available approach in the 1st round and going with intriguing guys in the middle rounds, leaning more on the pop-up college arms and volatile players. But they are in the Giants now so it will be very interesting to see their collective concepts of talent acquisition via draft.

Without further ado, these are the draft prospects in this year's draft that I think we should be looking at heavily until draft time because they are in the wheelhouse of the 10th overall pick and there is a definitive top half of the group that separated themselves from the rest of the pack.